Exeter City vs Crewe Alexandra: the story of the match
21' — Exeter City took the lead: 1-0. Anthony Scully scored from the penalty spot. Half time: 1-0.
90' — Exeter City extended the lead: 2-0. It came in the closing minutes. Exeter City won 2-0. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Exeter CityDrawCrewe Alexandra
Pre-match model estimate: Exeter City 42%, draw 33%, Crewe Alexandra 25%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Exeter City took the lead in the 21st minute: Anthony Scully from the penalty spot. Half-time: 1-0, Exeter City in front.
Late on, in the 90th minute, Exeter City extended their lead to 2-0.
What the numbers say
Exeter City had 8 shots (5 on target) to Crewe Alexandra's 12 (4). Corners finished 3-6.
What it means
Exeter City are now unbeaten in 5 matches. Crewe Alexandra's 10-match unbeaten run is over. Exeter City beat Crewe Alexandra for the first time since 2019.
Next fixtures
Exeter City's next match is away to Salford City on 31 October. Crewe Alexandra host Barnet FC next, on 31 October in the League Two.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.