Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Negelle Arsi beat Ethiopia Bunna SC 3-0 in Premier League.
In our records Ethiopia Bunna SC and Negelle Arsi have met 2 times: Ethiopia Bunna SC won 2, 0 ended level and Negelle Arsi won 0.
Their latest meeting (): Negelle Arsi 0-1 Ethiopia Bunna SC.
Match decisions & VAR
26'Penalty awardedNegelle ArsiDecision
95'Penalty awardedNegelle ArsiDecision
95'Red cardEthiopia Bunna SCDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Negelle Arsi won 0-3.
Story
Ethiopia Bunna SC vs Negelle Arsi: the story of the match
20' — Negelle Arsi took the lead: 0-1. 28' — Negelle Arsi extended the lead: 0-2. Half time: 0-2.
90' — Negelle Arsi extended the lead: 0-3. It came in the closing minutes. 95' — Ethiopia Bunna SC had a player sent off. Negelle Arsi won 0-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Ethiopia Bunna SC win in 46% of the simulated matches, 31% end level and Negelle Arsi win 23%. Average goals 1.9; the most likely score is 1-0 (18%); both teams score in 35%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Negelle Arsi took the lead on 20 minutes. Negelle Arsi extended their lead to 2-0 on 28 minutes. It was Ethiopia Bunna SC 0-2 Negelle Arsi at half-time.
Late on, in the 90th minute, Negelle Arsi extended their lead to 3-0. Ethiopia Bunna SC had a player sent off on 95 minutes.
Match statistics
The shot count read 2-6, 0-6 on target. Corners finished 4-4. Dangerous attacks: 48 for Ethiopia Bunna SC, 31 for Negelle Arsi.
The bigger picture
A 3-game wait for victory is over for Negelle Arsi.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
