Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
CF Uniao Lamas beat Estrela da Calheta FC 2-1 in Campeonato de Portugal.
Match decisions & VAR
39'Penalty awardedEstrela da Calheta FCDecision
59'Red cardCF Uniao LamasDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: CF Uniao Lamas won 1-2.
Story
Estrela da Calheta FC vs CF Uniao Lamas: the story of the match
4' — CF Uniao Lamas took the lead: 0-1. Half time: 0-1.
49' — Estrela da Calheta FC equalised: 1-1. 53' — CF Uniao Lamas went back in front: 1-2. 59' — CF Uniao Lamas had a player sent off. CF Uniao Lamas won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Estrela da Calheta FCDrawCF Uniao Lamas
Pre-match model estimate: Estrela da Calheta FC 31%, draw 28%, CF Uniao Lamas 41%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Estrela da Calheta FC win in 31% of the simulated matches, 28% end level and CF Uniao Lamas win 41%. Average goals 2.4; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 49%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Estrela da Calheta FC – CF Uniao Lamas match report
CF Uniao Lamas took the lead on 4 minutes. It was Estrela da Calheta FC 0-1 CF Uniao Lamas at half-time.
Estrela da Calheta FC drew level at 1-1 on 49 minutes. Just 4 minutes later (53') CF Uniao Lamas went 2-1 up. CF Uniao Lamas had a player sent off on 59 minutes.
The statistics
On target it was 1-2, from 5 and 2 attempts respectively. Estrela da Calheta FC won 10 corners, CF Uniao Lamas 7. Estrela da Calheta FC produced 145 dangerous attacks to CF Uniao Lamas' 104.
The bigger picture
Estrela da Calheta FC have now gone 5 matches without a win. CF Uniao Lamas end a run of 3 matches without a win.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.