This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
SC Farense U23 took the lead on 8 minutes. Estrela Amadora U23 drew level at 1-1 on 21 minutes. It was Estrela Amadora U23 1-1 SC Farense U23 at half-time.
Estrela Amadora U23 were a man down from the 94th minute.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 4-3, 2-2 on target. Estrela Amadora U23 won 6 corners, SC Farense U23 8.
The bigger picture
Estrela Amadora U23 have now gone 4 matches without a win. The wait for a win goes on for SC Farense U23: 5 matches now. Across 10 meetings in our records: 3 wins for Estrela Amadora U23, 3 wins for SC Farense U23 and 4 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
