Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Estoril Praia U23 beat Santa Clara U23 2-1 in U23 Liga Next Gen.
In our records Estoril Praia U23 and Santa Clara U23 have met 6 times: Estoril Praia U23 won 2, 3 ended level and Santa Clara U23 won 1.
Their latest meeting (): Estoril Praia U23 1-2 Santa Clara U23.
Match decisions & VAR
18'Red cardSanta Clara U23Decision
74'Penalty awardedSanta Clara U23Decision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Squad status
Line-ups not announced yet. Official line-ups are usually announced about 1 hour before kick-off.
No injured or suspended players reported for this match (checked ).
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Estoril Praia U23 won 2-1.
Story
Estoril Praia U23 vs Santa Clara U23: the story of the match
Estoril Praia U23 started on the front foot and controlled the first 15 minutes. 6' — Santa Clara U23 took the lead: 0-1. 18' — Santa Clara U23 had a player sent off. Half time: 0-1, with Estoril Praia U23 applying more of the pressure.
Pre-match model estimate: Estoril Praia U23 54%, draw 23%, Santa Clara U23 23%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Estoril Praia U23Santa Clara U23
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min8722
Last 15 min7534
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Estoril Praia U23 win in 54% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Santa Clara U23 win 23%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 57%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Estoril Praia U23 started on the front foot, pressing for the first 15 minutes. Santa Clara U23 took the lead on 6 minutes. Santa Clara U23 had a player sent off on 18 minutes. Santa Clara U23 led 1-0 at the break, although Estoril Praia U23 had applied more pressure.
Estoril Praia U23 drew level at 1-1 on 65 minutes. Just 3 minutes later (68') Estoril Praia U23 completed the turnaround at 2-1.
Match statistics
The shot count read 8-4, 3-4 on target. Corners finished 9-7. Dangerous attacks: 155 for Estoril Praia U23, 85 for Santa Clara U23.
What the result means
Estoril Praia U23 remain 3rd, now with 20 points. Santa Clara U23 slip to 15th (10 points), having started the day 14th. Estoril Praia U23 are now unbeaten in 10 matches. The wait for a win goes on for Santa Clara U23: 6 matches now.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
