Esteghlal FC vs Shams Azar, 30/10/2026 14:15 – live score
Iran
Pro League Round 11
Match info
Last 5 matches
More- Esteghlal FCLDWWD
- Shams AzarLDDLLNo win in 6 matches
Pro League
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tractor | 9 | +10 | 20 |
| 4 | Esteghlal FC | 10 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 | Foolad Khuzestan FC | 10 | +5 | 19 |
| 15 | Zob Ahan Isfahan | 10 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Shams Azar | 10 | -5 | 7 |
| 17 | Sanat Naft Abadan FC | 10 | -10 | 7 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Esteghlal FC and Shams Azar meet on in Pro League.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Esteghlal FC (68%).
Why it matters: A win could put Esteghlal FC top of the table.
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Esteghlal FC vs Shams Azar: preview
Esteghlal FC have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. 2 of Esteghlal FC's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 4. Shams Azar have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. Shams Azar have not won in 6 matches. 2 of Shams Azar's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 4.
Esteghlal FC are in position 4 with 20 points, Shams Azar in position 16 with 7 points. A win could lift Esteghlal FC as high as position 1. A win could lift Shams Azar as high as position 12.
Our pre-match model estimate: Esteghlal FC 68%, draw 22%, Shams Azar 10%.
Table by result
- A win takes them top.
- A win can lift them as high as 12.
- A defeat can drop them as low as 17.
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsModel simulation (20,000 runs): Esteghlal FC win in 68% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Shams Azar win 10%. Average goals 2.2; the most likely score is 1-0 (20%); both teams score in 30%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
