AfricaCAF Champions League QualificationPressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
Esperance Tunis beat Asswehly SC 1-0 in CAF Champions League Qualification.
Venue: Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi.
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Result verified.
Full time: Esperance Tunis won 1-0.
8' — Esperance Tunis took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
Esperance Tunis won 1-0.
Model estimate
Pre-match model estimate: Esperance Tunis 80%, draw 14%, Asswehly SC 6%.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
What the pre-match simulation said
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Esperance Tunis win in 80% of the simulated matches, 14% end level and Asswehly SC win 6%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 2-0 (15%); both teams score in 39%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
ScoreMondo · Published: · Updated:
Esperance Tunis kept a clean sheet in a 1-0 win over Asswehly SC in the CAF Champions League Qualification.
Esperance Tunis took the lead on 8 minutes. Esperance Tunis led 1-0 at the break.
Corners finished 6-1.
Asswehly SC's winning streak stops at 3.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
