Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Esbjerg fB beat FC Fredericia 2-1 in 1st Division.
Venue: Blue Water Arena.
Referee: J. Bogelund.
Match decisions & VAR
56'Penalty awardedFC FredericiaDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Esbjerg fB won 2-1.
Story
Esbjerg fB vs FC Fredericia: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
58' — FC Fredericia took the lead: 0-1. 64' — Esbjerg fB equalised: 1-1. 67' — Esbjerg fB completed the turnaround: 2-1. Esbjerg fB won 2-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Esbjerg fBDrawFC Fredericia
Pre-match model estimate: Esbjerg fB 18%, draw 20%, FC Fredericia 62%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Esbjerg fB win in 18% of the simulated matches, 20% end level and FC Fredericia win 62%. Average goals 3.4; the most likely score is 1-2 (10%); both teams score in 62%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FC Fredericia took the lead on 58 minutes. Just 6 minutes later (64') Esbjerg fB drew level at 1-1. Esbjerg fB completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 67 minutes.
Match statistics
On target it was 6-8, from 9 and 12 attempts respectively. Esbjerg fB's goalkeeper made 8 saves. Dangerous attacks: 325 for FC Fredericia, 122 for Esbjerg fB.
The bigger picture
Esbjerg fB remain 12th, now with 10 points. FC Fredericia stay 3rd on 20 points. A 3-game wait for victory is over for Esbjerg fB. FC Fredericia's 5-match unbeaten run is over.
Coming up
Next up for Esbjerg fB: home to FC Nordsjaelland on Wednesday 28 October. FC Fredericia's next match is at home against Akademisk Boldklub on 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
1st Division
