15' — CR Temouchent took the lead: 0-1. M. Zaalouk scored it. Half time: 0-1.
83' — CR Temouchent extended the lead: 0-2. B. Boubaker scored it. 90' — ES Setif pulled one back: 1-2. R. Benayad scored it. It came in the closing minutes. CR Temouchent won 1-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
ES SetifDrawCR Temouchent
Pre-match model estimate: ES Setif 69%, draw 22%, CR Temouchent 9%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): ES Setif win in 69% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and CR Temouchent win 9%. Average goals 2.1; the most likely score is 1-0 (20%); both teams score in 28%. About 9.8 corners on average. About 4.0 yellow cards on average; a red card in 20%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CR Temouchent took the lead in the 15th minute: M. Zaalouk. It was ES Setif 0-1 CR Temouchent at half-time.
The officials disallowed a ES Setif goal on 60 minutes. ES Setif had a goal ruled out in the 60th minute. The officials disallowed a ES Setif goal on 66 minutes. CR Temouchent extended their lead to 2-0 on 83 minutes thanks to B. Boubaker, set up by M. Toumi. Late on, in the 90th minute, ES Setif pulled one back to make it 1-2 through R. Benayad.
The statistics
Corners finished 13-2. Dangerous attacks: 117 for ES Setif, 45 for CR Temouchent.
What the result means
ES Setif slip to 12th (5 points), having started the day 11th. CR Temouchent climb from 13th to 9th on 8 points. ES Setif's 3-match unbeaten run is over. A 3-game wait for victory is over for CR Temouchent.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
