Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
El Mansoura beat El Entag El Harby SC 3-2 in Second Division.
Venue: Al Salam Stadium.
Match decisions & VAR
46'Penalty awardedEl Entag El Harby SCDecision
68'Penalty awardedEl Entag El Harby SCDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: El Mansoura won 2-3.
Story
El Entag El Harby SC vs El Mansoura: the story of the match
36' — El Mansoura took the lead: 0-1. 45' — El Entag El Harby SC equalised: 1-1. Half time: 1-1.
47' — El Mansoura went back in front: 1-2. 53' — El Mansoura extended the lead: 1-3. 71' — El Entag El Harby SC pulled one back: 2-3. El Mansoura won 2-3.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
El Entag El Harby SCDrawEl Mansoura
Pre-match model estimate: El Entag El Harby SC 34%, draw 28%, El Mansoura 38%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): El Entag El Harby SC win in 34% of the simulated matches, 28% end level and El Mansoura win 38%. Average goals 2.4; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 49%. About 9.4 corners on average. About 3.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 9%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
El Mansoura took the lead on 36 minutes. El Entag El Harby SC drew level at 1-1 on 45 minutes. The first half ended 1-1.
Just 2 minutes later (47') El Mansoura went 2-1 up. Just 6 minutes later (53') El Mansoura extended their lead to 3-1. El Entag El Harby SC pulled one back to make it 2-3 on 71 minutes.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 7-6, 4-3 on target. Corners finished 5-1. Dangerous attacks: 61 for El Entag El Harby SC, 41 for El Mansoura.
What it means
El Entag El Harby SC have now scored in 4 consecutive matches. El Mansoura have now scored in 4 consecutive matches.
Coming up
El Mansoura's next match is at home against Haras El-Hodood SC on 29 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
