18' — UD Almeria took the lead: 0-1. Quim Junyent scored it. Half time: 0-1.
87' — Eibar equalised: 1-1. Pejiño scored it. It came in the closing minutes. The match ended 1-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
EibarDrawUD Almeria
Pre-match model estimate: Eibar 41%, draw 24%, UD Almeria 35%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Eibar win in 41% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and UD Almeria win 35%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 61%. About 11.0 corners on average. About 5.0 yellow cards on average; a red card in 18%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Eibar and UD Almeria shared the points in a 1-1 draw in LaLiga 2. The half-time score was 0-1.
How the match unfolded
UD Almeria took the lead on 18 minutes thanks to Quim Junyent. Half-time: 0-1, UD Almeria in front.
Late on, in the 87th minute, Eibar drew level at 1-1 through Pejiño.
Match statistics
Eibar won 5 corners, UD Almeria 3. Eibar produced 47 dangerous attacks to UD Almeria's 23.
What it means
Eibar have now gone 4 matches without a win. UD Almeria extend their unbeaten run to 10 matches. Across 11 meetings in our records: 5 wins for Eibar, 3 wins for UD Almeria and 3 draws.
What’s next
Eibar visit CD Pamplona next, on 10 November. Next up for UD Almeria: home to FC Andorra on Saturday 14 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
LaLiga 2
