Kick-off
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Chances to win, minute by minute (Model estimate). Start: Eibar C 44%, Draw 25%, CD Derio 31%. Now (5'): Eibar C 43%, Draw 26%, CD Derio 31%.
| Minute | Event | Eibar C | Draw | CD Derio |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Start | 44% | 25% | 31% | |
| 5' | 43% | 26% | 31% |
Recalculated every minute and after every goal or red card. How is this calculated? →
Eibar C and CD Derio meet (Tercera Federacion, Group 12). The match is being played on and kicked off at .
After 5', it is level at 0-0.
Eibar C came into the match with 2 wins and 3 defeats in their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 9. CD Derio came into the match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 9.
In our records the two sides have met 4 times: Eibar C won 1, 3 ended level and CD Derio won 0. Their last meeting, on , finished CD Derio 2-2 Eibar C.
This page follows Eibar C – CD Derio live: the live score and the standings, updated as it happens.
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards. Match in progress — new decisions appear here.
Goals: 5 - 3 · last 4 meetings
Both teams scored: 2/4Matches with 3+ goals: 1/4
| P | W | D | L | Goals | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At home | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:10 |
| Away | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:14 |
Goals scored per match: 1.8Goals conceded per match: 1.3
| P | W | D | L | Goals | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At home | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20:13 |
| Away | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 15:12 |
Goals scored per match: 1.8Goals conceded per match: 1.6
What the pre-match simulation said
One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals Eibar C 1.4 – 1.4 CD Derio. Most frequent scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Both teams score in 56% of the simulated matches. About 9.2 corners on average. About 5.5 yellow cards on average; a red card in 27%.
Our model’s view: how much each factor shifts the balance between the two teams’ chances of winning.
The percentages shown also take the public pre-match consensus into account; the factors above are our model’s own. How the factors work →
Eibar C vs CD Derio: head to head and form
Last update:
Live data; the result is verified after full time.
The model gives Eibar C a 43% chance of winning right now.
Model estimate
Chances to win, minute by minute ›
Pre-match model estimate: Eibar C 37%, draw 25%, CD Derio 38%.
Our own statistical model's estimate — a probability, not a certainty. How is this calculated? →
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
ScoreMondo · Last update:
Over the last 5 matches, Eibar C have collected 2 wins and 3 defeats. Over the last 5 matches, CD Derio have collected 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Eibar C and CD Derio have met 4 times in our records: 1 win for Eibar C and 3 draws. The last meeting, in 2026, finished 2-2.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Tercera Federación – Group 4CD Lagun OnakEibar C
Tercera Federacion, Group 12
