Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Macae Esporte beat EC Nova Cidade 2-1 in Campeonato Carioca B.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Macae Esporte won 1-2.
Story
EC Nova Cidade vs Macae Esporte: the story of the match
1' — Macae Esporte took the lead: 0-1. 13' — EC Nova Cidade equalised: 1-1. 31' — Macae Esporte went back in front: 1-2. Half time: 1-2.
Macae Esporte won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
EC Nova CidadeDrawMacae Esporte
Pre-match model estimate: EC Nova Cidade 50%, draw 24%, Macae Esporte 26%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): EC Nova Cidade win in 50% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Macae Esporte win 26%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 54%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Macae Esporte took the lead on 1 minutes. EC Nova Cidade drew level at 1-1 on 13 minutes. Macae Esporte went 2-1 up on 31 minutes. Half-time: 1-2, Macae Esporte in front.
Match statistics
EC Nova Cidade had 9 shots (3 on target) to Macae Esporte's 4 (2). Corners finished 7-3. Dangerous attacks: 168 for EC Nova Cidade, 97 for Macae Esporte.
The bigger picture
EC Nova Cidade's 3-match unbeaten run is over.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
