Deportivo Nublense vs CD Coquimbo Unido: the story of the match
13' — CD Coquimbo Unido took the lead: 0-1. Luis Riveros scored it. 39' — Deportivo Nublense equalised: 1-1. Matías Plaza scored from the penalty spot. Half time: 1-1.
81' — Deportivo Nublense completed the turnaround: 2-1. Diego Sanhueza scored it. Deportivo Nublense won 2-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Deportivo NublenseDrawCD Coquimbo Unido
Pre-match model estimate: Deportivo Nublense 32%, draw 27%, CD Coquimbo Unido 41%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Deportivo Nublense win in 32% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and CD Coquimbo Unido win 41%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 52%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Deportivo Nublense – CD Coquimbo Unido match report
CD Coquimbo Unido took the lead in the 13th minute: Luis Riveros, set up by Juan Cornejo. Deportivo Nublense drew level at 1-1 in the 39th minute: Matías Plaza from the penalty spot. It was Deportivo Nublense 1-1 CD Coquimbo Unido at half-time.
Deportivo Nublense completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 81 minutes thanks to Diego Sanhueza, set up by Fernando Ovelar.
What the numbers say
Corners finished 6-3. Dangerous attacks: 58 for Deportivo Nublense, 42 for CD Coquimbo Unido.
What it means
Deportivo Nublense climb from 10th to 8th on 35 points. CD Coquimbo Unido slip to 10th (32 points), having started the day 8th. CD Coquimbo Unido's winning streak stops at 3. Deportivo Nublense beat CD Coquimbo Unido for the first time since 2023.
Liga de Primera
