Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Deportivo La Guaira beat Aragua FC 3-0 in Copa Venezuela.
Venue: Estadio Olimpico de la UCV.
In our records Deportivo La Guaira and Aragua FC have met 10 times: Deportivo La Guaira won 5, 4 ended level and Aragua FC won 1.
Their latest meeting (): Aragua FC 1-2 Deportivo La Guaira.
Match details
Venue
Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, Caracas
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Deportivo La Guaira won 3-0.
Story
Deportivo La Guaira vs Aragua FC: the story of the match
19' — Deportivo La Guaira took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
63' — Deportivo La Guaira extended the lead: 2-0. 65' — Deportivo La Guaira extended the lead: 3-0. Deportivo La Guaira won 3-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Deportivo La GuairaDrawAragua FC
Pre-match model estimate: Deportivo La Guaira 63%, draw 19%, Aragua FC 18%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Deportivo La Guaira win in 63% of the simulated matches, 19% end level and Aragua FC win 18%. Average goals 3.3; the most likely score is 2-1 (10%); both teams score in 59%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
