This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Deportivo CapiataTacuary FBC
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min9458
Last 15 min7873
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Deportivo Capiata win in 55% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Tacuary FBC win 21%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-0 (12%); both teams score in 51%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
It was Deportivo Capiata 0-0 Tacuary FBC at half-time; Deportivo Capiata had the better of the pressure.
Deportivo Capiata took the lead on 52 minutes. Deportivo Capiata extended their lead to 2-0 on 62 minutes. Deportivo Capiata extended their lead to 3-0 on 84 minutes.
The statistics
On target it was 8-4, from 9 and 5 attempts respectively. Corners finished 7-5. Tacuary FBC's goalkeeper made 8 saves. Dangerous attacks: 189 for Deportivo Capiata, 121 for Tacuary FBC.
What it means
Deportivo Capiata climb from 11th to 10th on 38 points. Tacuary FBC remain 15th, now with 27 points. Deportivo Capiata are now unbeaten in 5 matches. Tacuary FBC's run of 4 matches with a goal comes to an end.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
