This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Deportivo Cali win in 76% of the simulated matches, 16% end level and Boyaca Chico win 8%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 2-0 (14%); both teams score in 43%. About 9.3 corners on average. About 4.5 yellow cards on average; a red card in 29%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Deportivo Cali took the lead on 32 minutes thanks to Carlos Bacca, set up by Johan Andrés Martínez. Half-time: 1-0, Deportivo Cali in front.
Deportivo Cali were a man down from the 59th minute, when Nicolas Benedetti was sent off. Deportivo Cali extended their lead to 2-0 in the 79th minute: Juan Dinenno, set up by Eduard Bello.
The statistics
Deportivo Cali had 8 shots (7 on target) to Boyaca Chico's 8 (5). Deportivo Cali won 5 corners, Boyaca Chico 2. Deportivo Cali produced 56 dangerous attacks to Boyaca Chico's 36.
What it means
Deportivo Cali extend their unbeaten run to 11 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Liga DIMAYOR, Finalizacion
