Deportes Copiapo vs Deportes Santa Cruz: the story of the match
33' — Deportes Santa Cruz took the lead: 0-1. G. Alucema scored it. Half time: 0-1.
71' — Deportes Copiapo equalised: 1-1. F. Espoz scored it. The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Deportes CopiapoDrawDeportes Santa Cruz
Pre-match model estimate: Deportes Copiapo 47%, draw 25%, Deportes Santa Cruz 28%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Deportes Copiapo win in 47% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Deportes Santa Cruz win 28%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 54%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Deportes Copiapo – Deportes Santa Cruz match report
