3' — AS Monaco took the lead: 0-1. Paris Brunner scored it. 44' — AS Monaco extended the lead: 0-2. Ansu Fati scored it. Half time: 0-2.
76' — CSKA Sofia pulled one back: 1-2. Joël Zwarts scored it. AS Monaco won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CSKA SofiaDrawAS Monaco
Pre-match model estimate: CSKA Sofia 29%, draw 26%, AS Monaco 45%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
AS Monaco got the better of CSKA Sofia, winning 2-1 at Vasil Levski National Sports Academy. It was 0-2 at half-time.
The story of the match
Paris Brunner opened the scoring for AS Monaco after 3 minutes, set up by Stanis Idumbo. AS Monaco extended their lead to 2-0 on 44 minutes thanks to Ansu Fati. It was CSKA Sofia 0-2 AS Monaco at half-time.
CSKA Sofia pulled one back to make it 1-2 on 76 minutes thanks to Joël Zwarts, set up by Stefano Sensi.
Match statistics
On target it was 6-3, from 11 and 3 attempts respectively. Corners finished 12-1. AS Monaco's goalkeeper made 6 saves. Dangerous attacks: 218 for CSKA Sofia, 99 for AS Monaco.
What the result means
CSKA Sofia's 7-match unbeaten run is over. AS Monaco are now unbeaten in 9 matches. AS Monaco beat CSKA Sofia for the first time since 2005.
What’s next
CSKA Sofia host PFK Slavia Sofia next, on 31 October. Next up for AS Monaco: away at Paris FC on Saturday 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
