Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
About this match
CSKA Moscow and Lokomotiv Moscow meet on in Russian Cup.
Venue: VEB Arena.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Scoreno
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards CSKA Moscow (50%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
50%25%25%
CSKA Moscow50%Draw25%Lokomotiv Moscow25%
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv Moscow: preview
CSKA Moscow have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. CSKA Moscow have scored in 9 matches in a row. 7 of CSKA Moscow's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 6. Lokomotiv Moscow have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. Lokomotiv Moscow have not won in 3 matches. 3 of Lokomotiv Moscow's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 4.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): CSKA Moscow win in 50% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Lokomotiv Moscow win 25%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 54%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Over the last 5 matches, CSKA Moscow have collected 4 wins and 1 defeat. CSKA Moscow have scored in each of their last 9 matches. 7 of CSKA Moscow's last 10 matches have had three or more goals.
Over the last 5 matches, Lokomotiv Moscow have collected 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Lokomotiv Moscow have gone 3 matches without a win. Lokomotiv Moscow average 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game over their last 10.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.