CSD Liniers vs CA Ituzaingo: the story of the match
38' — R. Politano of CA Ituzaingo was sent off. Half time: 0-0.
57' — CSD Liniers took the lead: 1-0. F. Moreno scored it. 80' — CSD Liniers extended the lead: 2-0. G. Fernandez scored it. CSD Liniers won 2-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CSD LiniersDrawCA Ituzaingo
Pre-match model estimate: CSD Liniers 63%, draw 23%, CA Ituzaingo 14%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CSD Liniers win in 63% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and CA Ituzaingo win 14%. Average goals 2.4; the most likely score is 1-0 (16%); both teams score in 40%. About 9.5 corners on average. About 4.1 yellow cards on average; a red card in 19%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CSD Liniers beat CA Ituzaingo2-0 without conceding at Juan Antonio Arias Stadium. It was 0-0 at half-time.
The story of the match
CA Ituzaingo were a man down from the 38th minute, when R. Politano was sent off. The first half ended 0-0.
CSD Liniers took the lead in the 57th minute: F. Moreno. CSD Liniers extended their lead to 2-0 on 80 minutes thanks to G. Fernandez.
Match statistics
Corners finished 7-3.
What it means
CSD Liniers climb from 19th to 16th on 48 points. CA Ituzaingo remain 22nd, now with 17 points. A 3-game wait for victory is over for CSD Liniers. The wait for a win goes on for CA Ituzaingo: 12 matches now.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
