Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
CS Caldas and CD Mafra drew 3-3 in Liga 3.
Venue: Campo da Mata.
In our records CS Caldas and CD Mafra have met 2 times: CS Caldas won 0, 1 ended level and CD Mafra won 1.
Their latest meeting (): CD Mafra 4-2 CS Caldas.
Match details
Venue
Campo da Mata, Caldas da Rainha
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 3-3.
Story
CS Caldas vs CD Mafra: the story of the match
32' — CS Caldas took the lead: 1-0. 42' — CS Caldas extended the lead: 2-0. Half time: 2-0.
47' — CD Mafra pulled one back: 2-1. 63' — CD Mafra equalised: 2-2. 78' — CD Mafra completed the turnaround: 2-3. 85' — CS Caldas equalised: 3-3. It came in the closing minutes. The match ended 3-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CS CaldasDrawCD Mafra
Pre-match model estimate: CS Caldas 28%, draw 27%, CD Mafra 45%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CS Caldas win in 28% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and CD Mafra win 45%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 51%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CS Caldas – CD Mafra match report
Updated:
CS Caldas and CD Mafra shared the points in a 3-3 draw in the Liga 3. It was 2-0 at half-time.
The story of the match
CS Caldas took the lead on 32 minutes. CS Caldas extended their lead to 2-0 on 42 minutes. Half-time: 2-0, CS Caldas in front.
CD Mafra pulled one back to make it 2-1 on 47 minutes. CD Mafra drew level at 2-2 on 63 minutes. CD Mafra completed the turnaround at 3-2 on 78 minutes. Late on, in the 85th minute, CS Caldas drew level at 3-3.
The statistics
The shot count read 1-6, 0-3 on target. Corners finished 7-9. Dangerous attacks: 183 for CD Mafra, 119 for CS Caldas.
The bigger picture
CS Caldas sit 7th on 8 points in the standings. In the table, CD Mafra are 5th with 9 points. CS Caldas have now scored in 6 consecutive matches. CD Mafra are now unbeaten in 4 matches. Across 3 meetings in our records: 1 win for CD Mafra and 2 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
