This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Crystal Palace U21Everton U21
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min063
Last 15 min837
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Crystal Palace U21 win in 48% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and Everton U21 win 31%. Average goals 3.7; the most likely score is 2-1 (9%); both teams score in 70%. About 10.2 corners on average. About 4.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 12%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Half-time: 0-0 between Crystal Palace U21 and Everton U21.
Crystal Palace U21 took the lead on 65 minutes. Everton U21 took over after the 76th minute, pinning Crystal Palace U21 back. Everton U21 drew level at 1-1 on 81 minutes.
What the numbers say
On target it was 4-2, from 4 and 4 attempts respectively. Crystal Palace U21 won 3 corners, Everton U21 7.
What it means
Crystal Palace U21 have now scored in 5 consecutive matches. Everton U21 have now scored in 4 consecutive matches. Across 4 meetings in our records: 1 win for Crystal Palace U21, 1 win for Everton U21 and 2 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Premier League 2
