This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Cruzeiro EC U20 win in 43% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Atletico MG U20 win 34%. Average goals 3.3; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 64%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Cruzeiro EC U20 took the lead on 24 minutes. Cruzeiro EC U20 led 1-0 at the break.
Atletico MG U20 drew level at 1-1 on 68 minutes.
Match statistics
The shot count read 5-7, 2-2 on target. Cruzeiro EC U20 won 5 corners, Atletico MG U20 3. Cruzeiro EC U20 produced 272 dangerous attacks to Atletico MG U20's 198.
What it means
Cruzeiro EC U20 have now scored in 5 consecutive matches. The result ends Atletico MG U20's run of 7 straight wins. Across 11 meetings in our records: 4 wins for Cruzeiro EC U20, 2 wins for Atletico MG U20 and 5 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
