Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Columbus Crew II beat Crown Legacy FC 2-1 in MLS Next Pro.
Venue: Sportsplex at Matthews.
Match decisions & VAR
57'Penalty awardedCrown Legacy FCDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Columbus Crew II won 1-2.
Story
Crown Legacy FC vs Columbus Crew II: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
49' — Columbus Crew II took the lead: 0-1. 58' — Crown Legacy FC equalised: 1-1. 72' — Columbus Crew II went back in front: 1-2. Columbus Crew II won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Crown Legacy FCDrawColumbus Crew II
Pre-match model estimate: Crown Legacy FC 56%, draw 21%, Columbus Crew II 23%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Crown Legacy FC win in 56% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and Columbus Crew II win 23%. Average goals 3.5; the most likely score is 2-1 (9%); both teams score in 66%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
