Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
About this match
Coritiba and EC Vitoria BA meet on in Brasileiro Serie A.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Scoreno
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model sees the two sides as close.
Chances to win
Model estimate
41%25%34%
Coritiba41%Draw25%EC Vitoria BA34%
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Coritiba vs EC Vitoria BA: preview
Coritiba have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches. Coritiba have not won in 7 matches. 6 of Coritiba's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 6. EC Vitoria BA have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. EC Vitoria BA have scored in 7 matches in a row. 5 of EC Vitoria BA's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 6.
Our pre-match model estimate: Coritiba 41%, draw 25%, EC Vitoria BA 34%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
Preparing the simulation…
Model simulation (20,000 runs): Coritiba win in 41% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and EC Vitoria BA win 34%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 57%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Coritiba have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw and 4 defeats). Coritiba have gone 7 matches without a win. 6 of Coritiba's last 10 matches have had three or more goals.
Over the last 5 matches, EC Vitoria BA have collected 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats. EC Vitoria BA have scored in each of their last 7 matches. EC Vitoria BA average 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game over their last 10.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Brasileiro Serie A
