Coban Imperial vs CD Marquense: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
65' — CD Marquense took the lead: 0-1. C. Santos scored it. 78' — Coban Imperial equalised: 1-1. Janderson scored it. 87' — Coban Imperial completed the turnaround: 2-1. U. Amaral scored it. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — Coban Imperial extended the lead: 3-1. J. Winter scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Coban Imperial won 3-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Coban ImperialDrawCD Marquense
Pre-match model estimate: Coban Imperial 55%, draw 24%, CD Marquense 21%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Coban Imperial win in 55% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and CD Marquense win 21%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-0 (12%); both teams score in 51%. About 9.4 corners on average. About 4.7 yellow cards on average; a red card in 36%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
It was Coban Imperial 0-0 CD Marquense at half-time.
C. Santos opened the scoring for CD Marquense after 65 minutes. The officials disallowed a CD Marquense goal on 78 minutes. Janderson equalised for Coban Imperial at 1-1 after 78 minutes. Late on, in the 87th minute, Coban Imperial completed the turnaround at 2-1 through U. Amaral. Coban Imperial extended their lead to 3-1 on 90 minutes thanks to J. Winter.
CD Marquense had a goal ruled out.
What the numbers say
Corners finished 3-6.
What it means
Coban Imperial have now scored in 8 consecutive matches. CD Marquense's 5-match unbeaten run is over.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
