Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
FC Juarez U21 beat Club Necaxa U21 3-2 in U21 Liga MX.
Match decisions & VAR
66'Penalty awardedClub Necaxa U21Decision
81'Red cardClub Necaxa U21Decision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: FC Juarez U21 won 2-3.
Story
Club Necaxa U21 vs FC Juarez U21: the story of the match
24' — FC Juarez U21 took the lead: 0-1. 38' — Club Necaxa U21 equalised: 1-1. Half time: 1-1.
58' — FC Juarez U21 went back in front: 1-2. 66' — Club Necaxa U21 equalised: 2-2. 81' — Club Necaxa U21 had a player sent off. 90' — FC Juarez U21 went back in front: 2-3. It came in the closing minutes. FC Juarez U21 won 2-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Club Necaxa U21DrawFC Juarez U21
Pre-match model estimate: Club Necaxa U21 42%, draw 27%, FC Juarez U21 31%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Club Necaxa U21 win in 42% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and FC Juarez U21 win 31%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 51%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FC Juarez U21 took the lead on 24 minutes. Club Necaxa U21 drew level at 1-1 on 38 minutes. It was Club Necaxa U21 1-1 FC Juarez U21 at half-time.
FC Juarez U21 went 2-1 up on 58 minutes. Club Necaxa U21 drew level at 2-2 on 66 minutes. Club Necaxa U21 were a man down from the 81st minute. Late on, in the 90th minute, FC Juarez U21 went 3-2 up.
The statistics
Corners finished 5-2.
What it means
Club Necaxa U21 move on to 18 points. The result takes FC Juarez U21 to 22 points. Club Necaxa U21 have now scored in 5 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
