Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Club Celaya beat Cordobes FC 2-1 in Liga Premier.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Squad status
Line-ups not announced yet. Official line-ups are usually announced about 1 hour before kick-off.
No injured or suspended players reported for this match (checked ).
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Club Celaya won 2-1.
Story
Club Celaya vs Cordobes FC: the story of the match
40' — Club Celaya took the lead: 1-0. 45' — Club Celaya extended the lead: 2-0. Half time: 2-0.
67' — Cordobes FC pulled one back: 2-1. Club Celaya won 2-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Club CelayaDrawCordobes FC
Pre-match model estimate: Club Celaya 57%, draw 23%, Cordobes FC 20%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Club Celaya win in 57% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Cordobes FC win 20%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-0 (12%); both teams score in 50%. About 8.6 corners on average. About 4.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 26%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
