Club Atlas De Guadalajara vs Club America: the story of the match
26' — Club America took the lead: 0-1. Érick Sánchez scored it. 28' — Club America extended the lead: 0-2. Miguel Borja scored it. Half time: 0-2.
58' — Club America extended the lead: 0-3. Brian Rodríguez scored it. 63' — Club America extended the lead: 0-4. Alejandro Zendejas scored it. 73' — Club Atlas De Guadalajara pulled one back: 1-4. Luís Esteves scored from the penalty spot. 78' — Club Atlas De Guadalajara pulled one back: 2-4. Ryan Mmaee scored it. 79' — Club America extended the lead: 2-5. Kevin Álvarez scored it. Club America won 2-5.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Club Atlas De GuadalajaraDrawClub America
Pre-match model estimate: Club Atlas De Guadalajara 26%, draw 23%, Club America 51%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Club Atlas De Guadalajara win in 26% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Club America win 51%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 61%. About 11.2 corners on average.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Club Atlas De Guadalajara – Club America match report
Club America took the lead on 26 minutes thanks to Érick Sánchez, set up by Brian Rodríguez. Just 2 minutes later (28') Club America extended their lead to 2-0, Miguel Borja on target, set up by Carlos Álvarez. The officials disallowed a Club America goal on 35 minutes. It was Club Atlas De Guadalajara 0-2 Club America at half-time.
Club America extended their lead to 3-0 on 58 minutes thanks to Brian Rodríguez, set up by Alejandro Zendejas. Club America extended their lead to 4-0 on 63 minutes thanks to Alejandro Zendejas. After a review on 72 minutes, Club Atlas De Guadalajara were given a penalty. Club Atlas De Guadalajara pulled one back to make it 1-4 in the 73rd minute: Luís Esteves from the penalty spot. Ryan Mmaee reduced the deficit for Club Atlas De Guadalajara to 2-4 after 78 minutes, set up by Sergio Hernandez.
Club America extended their lead to 5-2 in the 79th minute: Kevin Álvarez.
The statistics
Club Atlas De Guadalajara had 11 shots (7 on target) to Club America's 14 (8). Corners finished 10-4. Dangerous attacks: 74 for Club Atlas De Guadalajara, 49 for Club America.
The bigger picture
Club Atlas De Guadalajara's 4-match unbeaten run is over.
Next fixtures
Next up for Club Atlas De Guadalajara: away at Atletico San Luis on Saturday 31 October. Club America's next match is at home against Club Tijuana on 29 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Liga MX, Apertura
