Clermont Foot started on the front foot and controlled the first 15 minutes. Half time: 0-0, with Clermont Foot applying more of the pressure.
76' — Clermont Foot took the lead: 1-0. Florian Bianchini scored it. After 76' the momentum swung to Rodez. Clermont Foot won 1-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Clermont FootDrawRodez
Pre-match model estimate: Clermont Foot 33%, draw 25%, Rodez 42%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Clermont FootRodez
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min1286
Last 15 min2879
Recorded from minute 3.
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Clermont Foot win in 33% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Rodez win 42%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 55%. About 9.6 corners on average. About 3.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 17%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
The early pressure came from Clermont Foot, who controlled the opening 15 minutes. It was Clermont Foot 0-0 Rodez at half-time; Clermont Foot had the better of the pressure.
Clermont Foot took the lead in the 76th minute: Florian Bianchini. Rodez took over after the 76th minute, pinning Clermont Foot back. Rodez had a goal ruled out in the 88th minute.
Match statistics
On target it was 4-2, from 7 and 3 attempts respectively. Clermont Foot won 4 corners, Rodez 6.
What the result means
The result lifts Clermont Foot to 15th with 11 points, up from 17th. Rodez drop from 11th to 13th on 13 points. Clermont Foot end a run of 11 matches without a win.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Ligue 2
