Dominican RepublicLDF Round 12Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
Cibao FC beat Moca FC 2-1 in LDF.
Venue: Estadio Cibao FC.
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Result verified.
Full time: Cibao FC won 2-1.
21' — Moca FC took the lead: 0-1. 40' — Cibao FC equalised: 1-1. Half time: 1-1.
89' — Cibao FC completed the turnaround: 2-1. It came in the closing minutes. Cibao FC won 2-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Model estimate
Pre-match model estimate: Cibao FC 55%, draw 27%, Moca FC 18%.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
What the pre-match simulation said
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Cibao FC win in 55% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and Moca FC win 18%. Average goals 2.2; the most likely score is 1-0 (16%); both teams score in 40%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Updated:
Moca FC took the lead on 21 minutes. Cibao FC drew level at 1-1 on 40 minutes. The first half ended 1-1.
Late on, in the 89th minute, Cibao FC completed the turnaround at 2-1.
Corners finished 2-4.
Cibao FC are now unbeaten in 7 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
