Churchill Brothers vs RoundGlass Punjab FC: the story of the match
13' — RoundGlass Punjab FC took the lead: 0-1. Raphaël Éric Messi Bouli scored from the penalty spot. 37' — Churchill Brothers equalised: 1-1. Sebastián Gutiérrez scored it. 40' — RoundGlass Punjab FC went back in front: 1-2. Alfred Planas scored it. 45' — Churchill Brothers equalised: 2-2. Sebastián Gutiérrez scored it. Half time: 2-2.
90' — RoundGlass Punjab FC went back in front: 2-3. It came in the closing minutes. RoundGlass Punjab FC won 2-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Churchill BrothersDrawRoundGlass Punjab FC
Pre-match model estimate: Churchill Brothers 29%, draw 26%, RoundGlass Punjab FC 45%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Churchill Brothers win in 29% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and RoundGlass Punjab FC win 45%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 51%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Churchill Brothers – RoundGlass Punjab FC match report
RoundGlass Punjab FC took the lead in the 13th minute: Raphaël Éric Messi Bouli from the penalty spot. Churchill Brothers drew level at 1-1 on 37 minutes thanks to Sebastián Gutiérrez. Alfred Planas put RoundGlass Punjab FC 2-1 ahead after 40 minutes. Churchill Brothers drew level at 2-2 in the 45th minute: Sebastián Gutiérrez. The first half ended 2-2.
Late on, in the 90th minute, RoundGlass Punjab FC went 3-2 up.
What the result means
RoundGlass Punjab FC extend their unbeaten run to 5 matches. It is RoundGlass Punjab FC's first win against Churchill Brothers since 2023.
Indian Super League
