Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Chelmsford City FC and Tonbridge Angels FC drew 3-3 in National League South.
In our records Chelmsford City FC and Tonbridge Angels FC have met 10 times: Chelmsford City FC won 4, 4 ended level and Tonbridge Angels FC won 2.
Their latest meeting (): Chelmsford City FC 1-0 Tonbridge Angels FC.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 3-3.
Story
Chelmsford City FC vs Tonbridge Angels FC: the story of the match
23' — Chelmsford City FC took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
49' — Chelmsford City FC extended the lead: 2-0. 75' — Tonbridge Angels FC pulled one back: 2-1. 78' — Tonbridge Angels FC equalised: 2-2. 86' — Chelmsford City FC went back in front: 3-2. It came in the closing minutes. 89' — Tonbridge Angels FC equalised: 3-3. It came in the closing minutes. The match ended 3-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Chelmsford City FCDrawTonbridge Angels FC
Pre-match model estimate: Chelmsford City FC 51%, draw 23%, Tonbridge Angels FC 26%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Chelmsford City FC win in 51% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Tonbridge Angels FC win 26%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 58%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Chelmsford City FC – Tonbridge Angels FC match report
Chelmsford City FC took the lead on 23 minutes. Half-time: 1-0, Chelmsford City FC in front.
Chelmsford City FC extended their lead to 2-0 on 49 minutes. Tonbridge Angels FC pulled one back to make it 2-1 on 75 minutes. Just 3 minutes later (78') Tonbridge Angels FC drew level at 2-2. Late on, in the 86th minute, Chelmsford City FC went 3-2 up. Just 3 minutes later (89') Tonbridge Angels FC drew level at 3-3.
Match statistics
On target it was 7-4, from 11 and 4 attempts respectively. Corners finished 8-4.
The bigger picture
Across 11 meetings in our records: 4 wins for Chelmsford City FC, 2 wins for Tonbridge Angels FC and 5 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
National League South
