Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Chapulineros de Oaxaca beat Tritones Vallarta MFC 2-1 in Liga Premier.
Match decisions & VAR
74'Penalty awardedChapulineros de OaxacaDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Chapulineros de Oaxaca won 2-1.
Story
Chapulineros de Oaxaca vs Tritones Vallarta MFC: the story of the match
18' — Chapulineros de Oaxaca took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
76' — Chapulineros de Oaxaca extended the lead: 2-0. 88' — Tritones Vallarta MFC pulled one back: 2-1. It came in the closing minutes. Chapulineros de Oaxaca won 2-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Chapulineros de OaxacaDrawTritones Vallarta MFC
Pre-match model estimate: Chapulineros de Oaxaca 45%, draw 25%, Tritones Vallarta MFC 30%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Chapulineros de Oaxaca win in 45% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Tritones Vallarta MFC win 30%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 53%. About 8.7 corners on average. About 4.2 yellow cards on average; a red card in 27%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Chapulineros de Oaxaca – Tritones Vallarta MFC match report
