Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: CF Pachuca U21 won 3-1.
Story
CF Pachuca U21 vs Cruz Azul AC U21: the story of the match
15' — CF Pachuca U21 took the lead: 1-0. 41' — CF Pachuca U21 extended the lead: 2-0. Half time: 2-0.
47' — Cruz Azul AC U21 pulled one back: 2-1. 84' — CF Pachuca U21 extended the lead: 3-1. CF Pachuca U21 won 3-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CF Pachuca U21DrawCruz Azul AC U21
Pre-match model estimate: CF Pachuca U21 38%, draw 27%, Cruz Azul AC U21 35%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CF Pachuca U21 win in 38% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and Cruz Azul AC U21 win 35%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 50%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CF Pachuca U21 took the lead on 15 minutes. CF Pachuca U21 extended their lead to 2-0 on 41 minutes. Half-time: 2-0, CF Pachuca U21 in front.
Cruz Azul AC U21 pulled one back to make it 2-1 on 47 minutes. CF Pachuca U21 had a goal ruled out in the 56th minute. CF Pachuca U21 extended their lead to 3-1 on 84 minutes.
What the numbers say
CF Pachuca U21 won 5 corners, Cruz Azul AC U21 4. CF Pachuca U21 produced 53 dangerous attacks to Cruz Azul AC U21's 37.
The bigger picture
The result takes CF Pachuca U21 to 12 points. Cruz Azul AC U21 move on to 16 points. It is now 6 straight defeats for Cruz Azul AC U21.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
