42' — CF Pachuca took the lead: 1-0. S. Rondón scored it. Half time: 1-0.
53' — CF Pachuca extended the lead: 2-0. S. Rondón scored it. 70' — CF Pachuca extended the lead: 3-0. Kenedy scored it. 80' — A. Franco of Tigres UANL was sent off. CF Pachuca won 3-0.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CF Pachuca win in 50% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Tigres UANL win 26%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 55%. About 11.1 corners on average. About 4.3 yellow cards on average; a red card in 23%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
S. Rondón opened the scoring for CF Pachuca after 42 minutes. It was CF Pachuca 1-0 Tigres UANL at half-time.
CF Pachuca extended their lead to 2-0 on 53 minutes thanks to S. Rondón, set up by O. Idrissi. CF Pachuca extended their lead to 3-0 on 70 minutes thanks to Kenedy. Tigres UANL had a player sent off on 80 minutes: A. Franco.
The statistics
Corners finished 4-4.
What the result means
CF Pachuca have now scored in 5 consecutive matches. The wait for a win goes on for Tigres UANL: 4 matches now.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Liga MX, Apertura
