CF Atlante vs Atletico San Luis: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
59' — Atletico San Luis took the lead: 0-1. Benjamín Galdames scored it. Atletico San Luis won 0-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CF AtlanteDrawAtletico San Luis
Pre-match model estimate: CF Atlante 45%, draw 25%, Atletico San Luis 30%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CF Atlante win in 45% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Atletico San Luis win 30%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 56%. About 11.5 corners on average. About 4.0 yellow cards on average; a red card in 23%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Atletico San Luis took the lead in the 59th minute: Benjamín Galdames, set up by Felipe Mora. After a review on 93 minutes, CF Atlante were given a penalty.
Match statistics
CF Atlante had 9 shots (0 on target) to Atletico San Luis' 3 (1). Corners finished 7-2. Dangerous attacks: 89 for CF Atlante, 53 for Atletico San Luis.
What the result means
CF Atlante slip to 16th (14 points), having started the day 15th. Atletico San Luis climb from 12th to 11th on 19 points. Atletico San Luis have now scored in 6 consecutive matches. Atletico San Luis beat CF Atlante for the first time since 2018.
Liga MX, Apertura
