Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Celtiga CF and UD Somozas drew 1-1 in Tercera Federacion, Group 12.
Match decisions & VAR
91'Penalty awardedCeltiga CFDecision
91'Red cardUD SomozasDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 1-1.
Story
Celtiga CF vs UD Somozas: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
81' — Celtiga CF took the lead: 1-0. 85' — UD Somozas equalised: 1-1. It came in the closing minutes. 91' — UD Somozas had a player sent off. The match ended 1-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Celtiga CFDrawUD Somozas
Pre-match model estimate: Celtiga CF 35%, draw 28%, UD Somozas 37%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Celtiga CF win in 35% of the simulated matches, 28% end level and UD Somozas win 37%. Average goals 2.3; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 46%. About 9.3 corners on average. About 5.3 yellow cards on average; a red card in 24%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Celtiga CF – UD Somozas match report
Updated:
Neither Celtiga CF nor UD Somozas could find a winner in a 1-1 draw. The half-time score was 0-0.
How the match unfolded
It was Celtiga CF 0-0 UD Somozas at half-time.
Celtiga CF took the lead on 81 minutes. UD Somozas drew level at 1-1 on 85 minutes. UD Somozas had a player sent off on 91 minutes.
Match statistics
On target it was 2-6, from 2 and 9 attempts respectively.
The bigger picture
Celtiga CF have now gone 5 matches without a win.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Tercera Federacion, Group 12
