Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Heart of Midlothian FC (Wom) beat Celtic LFC (Wom) 4-2 in SWPL 1 - Women.
In our records Celtic LFC (Wom) and Heart of Midlothian FC (Wom) have met 9 times: Celtic LFC (Wom) won 5, 0 ended level and Heart of Midlothian FC (Wom) won 4.
Their latest meeting (): Celtic LFC (Wom) 1-2 Heart of Midlothian FC (Wom).
Match decisions & VAR
38'Penalty awardedHeart of Midlothian FC (Wom)Decision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Heart of Midlothian FC (Wom) won 2-4.
Story
Celtic LFC (Wom) vs Heart of Midlothian FC (Wom): the story of the match
3' — Celtic LFC (Wom) took the lead: 1-0. 32' — Heart of Midlothian FC (Wom) equalised: 1-1. 36' — Celtic LFC (Wom) went back in front: 2-1. 39' — Heart of Midlothian FC (Wom) equalised: 2-2. Half time: 2-2.
50' — Heart of Midlothian FC (Wom) completed the turnaround: 2-3. 62' — Heart of Midlothian FC (Wom) extended the lead: 2-4. Heart of Midlothian FC (Wom) won 2-4.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Celtic LFC (Wom)DrawHeart of Midlothian FC (Wom)
Pre-match model estimate: Celtic LFC (Wom) 36%, draw 22%, Heart of Midlothian FC (Wom) 42%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Celtic LFC (Wom) win in 36% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Heart of Midlothian FC (Wom) win 42%. Average goals 3.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (8%); both teams score in 70%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Celtic LFC (Wom) – Heart of Midlothian FC (Wom) match report
Celtic LFC (Wom) took the lead on 3 minutes. Heart of Midlothian FC (Wom) drew level at 1-1 on 32 minutes. Just 4 minutes later (36') Celtic LFC (Wom) went 2-1 up. Heart of Midlothian FC (Wom) drew level at 2-2 on 39 minutes. Half-time: 2-2 between Celtic LFC (Wom) and Heart of Midlothian FC (Wom).
Heart of Midlothian FC (Wom) completed the turnaround at 3-2 on 50 minutes. Heart of Midlothian FC (Wom) extended their lead to 4-2 on 62 minutes.
The statistics
The shot count read 6-9, 5-7 on target. Corners finished 4-4.
What it means
Celtic LFC (Wom) slip to 3rd (21 points), having started the day 2nd. Heart of Midlothian FC (Wom) climb from 3rd to 2nd on 22 points. Celtic LFC (Wom) have now scored in 11 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
