Celta de Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao: the story of the match
20' — Athletic Bilbao took the lead: 0-1. A. Berenguer scored it. 22' — Athletic Bilbao extended the lead: 0-2. R. Navarro scored it. Half time: 0-2.
Athletic Bilbao won 0-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Celta de VigoDrawAthletic Bilbao
Pre-match model estimate: Celta de Vigo 37%, draw 33%, Athletic Bilbao 30%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Athletic Bilbao took the lead in the 20th minute: A. Berenguer, set up by I. Williams. Athletic Bilbao extended their lead to 2-0 in the 22nd minute: R. Navarro, set up by I. Ruiz de Galarreta. It was Celta de Vigo 0-2 Athletic Bilbao at half-time.