SpainPrimera Federacion Round 9Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
Real Zaragoza beat CE Europa 1-0 in Primera Federacion.
Venue: Can Drago.
Referee: F. Ortega.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Result verified.
Full time: Real Zaragoza won 0-1.
Half time: 0-0.
82' — Real Zaragoza took the lead: 0-1. Real Zaragoza won 0-1.
Model estimate
Pre-match model estimate: CE Europa 30%, draw 25%, Real Zaragoza 45%.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
What the pre-match simulation said
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CE Europa win in 30% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Real Zaragoza win 45%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 55%. About 9.3 corners on average. About 4.7 yellow cards on average; a red card in 30%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Updated:
Real Zaragoza kept a clean sheet in a 1-0 win over CE Europa in the Primera Federacion. It was 0-0 at half-time.
It was CE Europa 0-0 Real Zaragoza at half-time.
Real Zaragoza took the lead on 82 minutes.
Real Zaragoza are now unbeaten in 8 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
