Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: CD Choloma won 3-1.
Story
CD Choloma vs Genesis Huracan: the story of the match
35' — CD Choloma took the lead: 1-0. 42' — CD Choloma extended the lead: 2-0. Half time: 2-0.
55' — CD Choloma extended the lead: 3-0. 59' — Genesis Huracan pulled one back: 3-1. 83' — Genesis Huracan had a player sent off. CD Choloma won 3-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CD CholomaDrawGenesis Huracan
Pre-match model estimate: CD Choloma 34%, draw 26%, Genesis Huracan 40%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CD Choloma win in 34% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and Genesis Huracan win 40%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 53%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CD Choloma – Genesis Huracan match report
Updated:
CD Choloma got the better of Genesis Huracan, winning 3-1 at Estadio Municipal Rubén Deras. It was 2-0 at half-time.
Key moments
CD Choloma took the lead on 35 minutes. CD Choloma extended their lead to 2-0 on 42 minutes. CD Choloma led 2-0 at the break.
CD Choloma extended their lead to 3-0 on 55 minutes. Just 4 minutes later (59') Genesis Huracan pulled one back to make it 3-1. Genesis Huracan had a player sent off on 83 minutes. Genesis Huracan had a goal ruled out. Genesis Huracan had a goal ruled out.
The statistics
On target it was 5-8, from 6 and 9 attempts respectively. Dangerous attacks: 51 for Genesis Huracan, 23 for CD Choloma.
The bigger picture
CD Choloma climb from 9th to 5th on 13 points. Genesis Huracan slip to 9th (11 points), having started the day 8th. CD Choloma have now scored in 4 consecutive matches. The wait for a win goes on for Genesis Huracan: 5 matches now.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
