Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
CD Barranquilla FC and Real Cartagena drew 1-1 in Torneo DIMAYOR, Clausura.
Venue: Estadio Romelio Martinez.
In our records CD Barranquilla FC and Real Cartagena have met 10 times: CD Barranquilla FC won 2, 3 ended level and Real Cartagena won 5.
Their latest meeting (): Real Cartagena 2-1 CD Barranquilla FC.
Match decisions & VAR
36'Penalty awardedReal CartagenaDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 1-1.
Story
CD Barranquilla FC vs Real Cartagena: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
64' — CD Barranquilla FC took the lead: 1-0. 79' — Real Cartagena equalised: 1-1. The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CD Barranquilla FCDrawReal Cartagena
Pre-match model estimate: CD Barranquilla FC 16%, draw 19%, Real Cartagena 65%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CD Barranquilla FC win in 16% of the simulated matches, 19% end level and Real Cartagena win 65%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 0-2 (11%); both teams score in 53%. About 9.3 corners on average. About 4.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 20%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Half-time: 0-0 between CD Barranquilla FC and Real Cartagena.
CD Barranquilla FC took the lead on 64 minutes. Real Cartagena drew level at 1-1 on 79 minutes.
Match statistics
CD Barranquilla FC had 7 shots (6 on target) to Real Cartagena's 3 (3). Corners finished 8-6.
What the result means
CD Barranquilla FC climb from 16th to 15th on 14 points. Real Cartagena slip to 5th (21 points), having started the day 4th. The wait for a win goes on for CD Barranquilla FC: 4 matches now. Real Cartagena are now unbeaten in 4 matches. Across 11 meetings in our records: 2 wins for CD Barranquilla FC, 5 wins for Real Cartagena and 4 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Torneo DIMAYOR, Clausura
