Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Campo Grande AC RJ won 2-0.
Story
Campo Grande AC RJ vs Niteroiense FC: the story of the match
45' — Campo Grande AC RJ took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
47' — Campo Grande AC RJ extended the lead: 2-0. Campo Grande AC RJ won 2-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Campo Grande AC RJDrawNiteroiense FC
Pre-match model estimate: Campo Grande AC RJ 24%, draw 29%, Niteroiense FC 47%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Campo Grande AC RJ win in 24% of the simulated matches, 29% end level and Niteroiense FC win 47%. Average goals 2.1; the most likely score is 0-1 (16%); both teams score in 40%. About 9.5 corners on average.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Campo Grande AC RJ took the lead on 45 minutes. It was Campo Grande AC RJ 1-0 Niteroiense FC at half-time.
Just 2 minutes later (47') Campo Grande AC RJ extended their lead to 2-0. The officials disallowed a Niteroiense FC goal on 81 minutes.
What the numbers say
Campo Grande AC RJ had 4 shots (3 on target) to Niteroiense FC's 6 (1). Corners finished 3-10. Dangerous attacks: 189 for Niteroiense FC, 116 for Campo Grande AC RJ.
What it means
A 5-game wait for victory is over for Campo Grande AC RJ.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
