Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Squad status
Line-ups not announced yet. Official line-ups are usually announced about 1 hour before kick-off.
No injured or suspended players reported for this match (checked ).
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 2-2.
Story
CA Independiente Siguatepeque vs CD Marathon: the story of the match
15' — CA Independiente Siguatepeque took the lead: 1-0. 32' — CD Marathon equalised: 1-1. 41' — CD Marathon completed the turnaround: 1-2. Half time: 1-2.
90' — CA Independiente Siguatepeque equalised: 2-2. It came in the closing minutes. The match ended 2-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CA Independiente SiguatepequeDrawCD Marathon
Pre-match model estimate: CA Independiente Siguatepeque 17%, draw 23%, CD Marathon 60%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CA Independiente Siguatepeque win in 17% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and CD Marathon win 60%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 0-1 (13%); both teams score in 46%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CA Independiente Siguatepeque – CD Marathon match report
CA Independiente Siguatepeque took the lead on 15 minutes. CD Marathon drew level at 1-1 on 32 minutes. CD Marathon completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 41 minutes. It was CA Independiente Siguatepeque 1-2 CD Marathon at half-time.
CA Independiente Siguatepeque drew level at 2-2 on 90 minutes.
Match statistics
The shot count read 10-10, 5-8 on target. Corners finished 4-5. Dangerous attacks: 102 for CA Independiente Siguatepeque, 78 for CD Marathon.
The bigger picture
CA Independiente Siguatepeque remain 10th, now with 11 points. CD Marathon slip to 3rd (22 points), having started the day 2nd. The wait for a win goes on for CA Independiente Siguatepeque: 4 matches now. CD Marathon are now unbeaten in 4 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
