Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
CA Fenix Montevideo and CS Cerrito drew 1-1 in Segunda Division.
Venue: Parque Capurro.
In our records CA Fenix Montevideo and CS Cerrito have met 10 times: CA Fenix Montevideo won 6, 3 ended level and CS Cerrito won 1.
Their latest meeting (): CS Cerrito 1-1 CA Fenix Montevideo.
Match details
Venue
Parque Capurro, Montevideo
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 1-1.
Story
CA Fenix Montevideo vs CS Cerrito: the story of the match
44' — CS Cerrito took the lead: 0-1. Half time: 0-1.
55' — CA Fenix Montevideo equalised: 1-1. The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CA Fenix MontevideoDrawCS Cerrito
Pre-match model estimate: CA Fenix Montevideo 45%, draw 26%, CS Cerrito 29%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CA Fenix Montevideo win in 45% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and CS Cerrito win 29%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 51%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CS Cerrito took the lead on 44 minutes. Half-time: 0-1, CS Cerrito in front.
CA Fenix Montevideo drew level at 1-1 on 55 minutes.
The statistics
CA Fenix Montevideo won 4 corners, CS Cerrito 3.
What the result means
CA Fenix Montevideo have now gone 4 matches without a win. The wait for a win goes on for CS Cerrito: 4 matches now. Across 11 meetings in our records: 6 wins for CA Fenix Montevideo, 1 win for CS Cerrito and 4 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.