CA Defensores de Belgrano vs CA San Miguel: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
The match ended 0-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CA Defensores de BelgranoDrawCA San Miguel
Pre-match model estimate: CA Defensores de Belgrano 49%, draw 30%, CA San Miguel 21%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CA Defensores de Belgrano win in 49% of the simulated matches, 30% end level and CA San Miguel win 21%. Average goals 1.9; the most likely score is 1-0 (19%); both teams score in 33%. About 8.8 corners on average. About 4.1 yellow cards on average; a red card in 24%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CA Defensores de Belgrano – CA San Miguel match report
The shot count read 4-2, 3-1 on target. CA San Miguel produced 65 dangerous attacks to CA Defensores de Belgrano's 38.
The bigger picture
The result lifts CA Defensores de Belgrano to 12th with 39 points, up from 13th. CA San Miguel stay 18th on 33 points. CA Defensores de Belgrano have now gone 5 matches without a win. The wait for a win goes on for CA San Miguel: 11 matches now.
Next fixtures
CA Defensores de Belgrano visit CA Colon de Santa Fe next, on 1 November in the Primera B Nacional. Next up for CA San Miguel: home to CS Deportivo Madryn on Saturday 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Primera B Nacional
