CA Aldosivi vs CA River Plate BA: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
76' — CA River Plate BA took the lead: 0-1. Lucas Beltrán scored from the penalty spot. 90' — CA River Plate BA extended the lead: 0-2. Ángel Correa scored it. It came in the closing minutes. CA River Plate BA won 0-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CA AldosiviDrawCA River Plate BA
Pre-match model estimate: CA Aldosivi 13%, draw 21%, CA River Plate BA 66%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CA Aldosivi win in 13% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and CA River Plate BA win 66%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 0-1 (14%); both teams score in 44%. About 10.2 corners on average. About 4.6 yellow cards on average; a red card in 20%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CA River Plate BA kept a clean sheet in a 2-0 win over CA Aldosivi in the Liga Profesional. It was 0-0 at half-time.
The story of the match
Half-time: 0-0 between CA Aldosivi and CA River Plate BA.
VAR disallowed a CA Aldosivi goal on 61 minutes. CA River Plate BA took the lead on 76 minutes thanks to Lucas Beltrán from the penalty spot. CA River Plate BA extended their lead to 2-0 on 90 minutes thanks to Ángel Correa.
Match statistics
On target it was 2-7, from 2 and 12 attempts respectively. Corners finished 1-8. Dangerous attacks: 97 for CA River Plate BA, 44 for CA Aldosivi.
What it means
CA Aldosivi move on to 8 points. The result takes CA River Plate BA to 32 points. CA Aldosivi's run of 4 matches with a goal comes to an end.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
