Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Bul FC beat NEC FC 2-1 in FUFA Super League.
Venue: FUFA Technical Centre.
In our records Bul FC and NEC FC have met 6 times: Bul FC won 0, 4 ended level and NEC FC won 2.
Their latest meeting (): Bul FC 0-1 NEC FC.
Match decisions & VAR
20'Goal disallowedBul FCDecision · Score 1-0
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Bul FC won 2-1.
Story
Bul FC vs NEC FC: the story of the match
14' — Bul FC took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
51' — NEC FC equalised: 1-1. 67' — Bul FC went back in front: 2-1. Bul FC won 2-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Bul FCDrawNEC FC
Pre-match model estimate: Bul FC 37%, draw 28%, NEC FC 35%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Bul FC win in 37% of the simulated matches, 28% end level and NEC FC win 35%. Average goals 2.3; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 48%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Bul FC – NEC FC match report
Updated:
Bul FC beat NEC FC2-1 in the FUFA Super League at FUFA Technical Centre. It was 1-0 at half-time.
Key moments
Bul FC took the lead on 14 minutes. The officials disallowed a Bul FC goal on 20 minutes. It was Bul FC 1-0 NEC FC at half-time.
NEC FC drew level at 1-1 on 51 minutes. Bul FC went 2-1 up on 67 minutes.
The statistics
The shot count read 6-2, 5-2 on target. Corners finished 8-3.
The bigger picture
Bul FC are now unbeaten in 7 matches. NEC FC's 6-match unbeaten run is over. Bul FC had not beaten NEC FC in any of the previous 6 meetings we have.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
